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10 Jan 2025

Oil remains well supported – ING

Oil prices remain well supported with ICE Brent settling 1% higher yesterday, ING’s commodity analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note.

Market sentiment remains positive

“Sentiment remains positive on the back of colder weather across parts of the Northern Hemisphere, which is likely to boost oil demand. In addition, spot Asian LNG is trading at a premium to oil, increasing the risk of substitution.”

“Meanwhile, uncertainty over how hawkish Trump will be with Iran will be providing some support. Asian buyers have already been looking for alternative grades from the Middle East, with broader sanctions against Russia and Iran making this oil flow more difficult. This move had pushed the Brent-Dubai spread into negative territory in recent weeks, although it has since reverted to a premium.”

Jan 10, 2025

Gold positions for a breakout ahead of December’s NFP report

Gold’s price (XAU/USD) is set to keep its winning streak for a fourth straight day this week, currently trading around $2,680 at the time of writing on Friday.

NZD/USD: Sustained break below 0.5570 seems unlikely – UOB Group

Scope for the New Zealand (NZD) to test the 0.5570 level; a sustained break below this level seems unlikely. In the longer run, risk for NZD is beginning to shift to the downside, but it must break clearly below 0.5570, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note.