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3 Apr 2013

Forex Flash: Short the Yen vs the Swiss Franc - JP Morgan

FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - A long term trade idea, according to John Normand, FX strategist at J.P. Morgan Securities, is to short the JPY/CHF pair on the basis of hugely dissimilar fundamentals.

John says: "Switzerland runs one of the largest current account surpluses in the world (12% of GDP and rising), while Japan’s surplus has evaporated. The BoJ is clearly on a multi-year easing path while the SNB is on hold. On a view that balance of payments trends and central bank policy will define winners and losers in FX over the long term, keep this trade."
Apr 2, 2013

Forex Flash: Pricing for RBA cuts in 1-year from 15bp to 19bp - NAB

Following the RBA more neutral monetary policy position, according to NAB, "most of the commentary surrounding the RBA post meeting statement is to the effect that the RBA is sitting quite comfortably on hold here, and that the professed easing bias is not something they are likely to act on anytime soon."
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Apr 3, 2013

Forex: EUR/USD unable to trade above 1.2880; focus on ECB

The Euro finally closed around the 1.2820 after being unable to break above the 200 days MA at 1.2880. After falling almost 1000 pips in two months from the February 1st high at 1.3710 to the last week low of 1.2755, the EUR/USD was trading on recovery mode to test the 1.2880 but the single currency remains fragile and kept the negative path.
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